Age-related twin-peak prevalence profiles of H. pylori infection, gastritis, GIN and gastric cancer: Analyses of 70,534 patients with gastroscopic biopsies.

OBJECTIVES: H. pylori (Hp) infection has been indicated in the pathogenesis of gastric diseases including gastric cancer (GC). This study aimed at exploring the relationships between Hp infection and gastric diseases including GC in a large dataset of routine patients undergoing gastroscopy. METHODS: From November 2007 to December 2017, 70,534 first-time visiting patients aged 18-94 years with gastroscopic biopsies were histologically diagnosed and analyzed. Patients' data were entered twice in an Excel spreadsheet database and analyzed using the SPSS (version 22.0) software package and statistical significance was defined as P<0.05 for all analyses. RESULTS: The first interesting observation was age-related twin-peak prevalence profiles (TPPs) for Hp infection, gastritis, and advanced diseases with different time spans (TS) between the first and second occurring peaks. Hp infection and gastritis had TPPs occurring at earlier ages than TPPs of gastric introepithelial neoplasia (GIN) and GC. More patients were clustered at the second occurring TPPs. The time spans (TS) from the first occurring peak of Hp infection to the first occurring peaks of other gastric diseases varied dramatically with 0-5 years for gastritis; 5-15 years for GINs, and 5-20 years for GC, respectively. The number of males with Hp infection and gastric diseases, excluding non-atrophic gastritis (NAG), was more than that of females (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: We have first observed age-related twin-peak prevalence profiles for Hp infection, gastritis, GIN, and GC, respectively, among a large population of patients undergoing gastroscopy. The second prevalence peak of GC is at ages of 70-74 years indicating that many GC patients would be missed during screening because the cut-off age for screening is 69 years old in China.

Combination of preoperative CA19-9 levels, cell differentiation, and age predicts survival for patients with gastric cancer before surgery.

ABSTRACT: Gastric cancer (GC) is very common in China, posing a threat to public health, with high morbidity and mortality ranks. Tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system is routinely used to predict prognosis for patients with GC but only available after surgery. Therefore, searching for markers that can predict prognosis of GC patients before surgery is desirable to assist management decisions preoperatively. Among 322 GC patients followed-up for 128 months, the tumor markers alpha fetoprotein, carcinoembryonic antigen, carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), carbohydrate antigen 15-3 and carbohydrate antigen 72-4 of 168 patients were detected before surgery, and their impact on survival was analyzed. Four major findings were revealed: (1) Preoperative examined CA19-9 levels and cell differentiation using endoscopic biopsies were positively correlated with lymphatic metastases and TNM stages obtained after surgery. (2) Kaplan-Meier analyses demonstrated that poor survival of patients with GC was associated with higher CA19-9 levels, poor cell differentiation, and older age. (3) Cox multi-factorial regression analyses indicated that, in terms of predicting overall survival for GC patients, preoperative CA19-9 level, cell differentiation and age were independent factors, respectively, comparable to postoperative TNM staging system. (4) Using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, we first revealed that preoperative CA19-9 levels and cell differentiation had the impact weights (IW) on survival comparable to postoperative TNM components. These findings suggest that preoperative CA19-9 levels, cell differentiation and age are useful prognostic related markers for GC patients, superior to postoperative TNM system in terms of timing for management. We propose that, assisted by clinical imaging, a comprehensive utilization of these preoperative survival-predictors may help formulate individualized medical management for GC patients such as surgical strategy, optimal chemotherapy and radiotherapy, and appropriate follow-up intervals after surgery.